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Showing posts with the label Statistics

Initial And Recon Allowance Rates

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     Social Security has posted numbers on the disability claim allowance rates in each state at the initial and reconsideration levels of review. Note the disparities. Click on each page to view full size.

An Inflection Point? Maybe We'll Know In Another Year Or Two Or Three

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     Social Security has released updated statistics showing that the number of disability claims filed in calendar year 2019 was essentially the same as in 2018. This is a big change. In every year between 2011 and 2018 the number of new claims declined significantly, totaling a 32% decline over these years. Could this be an inflection point? It may be years until we know for sure.       You have to be careful in reading Social Security's table. First, two numbers are presented on number of claims filed, Field Office Receipts and Initial DDS Receipts. Field Office Receipts include many claims that were quickly denied on technical grounds such as the claimant failing to meet the earnings requirement. Changes in agency practices as well as the spread of internet filing of claims affect the number of technical denials. I think the Field Office Receipts numbers should be ignored. The Initial DDS Receipts numbers are the important ones. These ar...

OHO Backlogs Continue To Dwindle

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This was obtained from Social Security by the National Organization of Social Security Claimants Representatives (NOSSCR) and published in its newsletter, which is not available online to non-members. Click on image to view full size

Another Possible Reason Why The Number Of Disability Claims Started Declining In 2011

     From The Role of Information in Disability Insurance Application: An Analysis of the Social Security Statement Phase-In by Philip Armour published in the American Economic Journal in August 2018: This paper exploits a natural experiment in information provision on US Disability Insurance ( DI ) applications: the Social Security state ment. Although the effect of the statement on DI application was neg ligible in the general health and retirement study population , among those previously reporting a work limitation , biennial DI application rates approximately doubled. This effect was driven by previously uninformed individuals. Additional analyses show these were new applicants and were no less likely to be accepted onto DI , accounting for a substantial fraction of the rise in DI rolls from 1994 to 2004 and indicating the importance of informational frictions in disability policymaking.      I know this study i...

A Lot More Going Out Than Coming In

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     This was obtained from Social Security by the  National Organization of Social Security Claimants Representatives (NOSSCR)  and published in its newsletter, which is not available online to non-members. It concerns operations in the agency's Office of Hearings Operations.